Classified event engine Macro evidence system matching ninety years of market precedents 72,036 events classified
The classified event archive

News moves Markets,
so we Measured it.

We classified 72,036 historical events spanning ninety years. Analyse how asset classes reacted under stress, policy shocks, and structural shifts. No predictions. Just cold, empirical evidence.

Fig. 01 From the archive 01 / 20
Aug 1990

"Iraq invades Kuwait."

BRENT +11.6% NEXT SESSION
A random walk through the archive — a piece of news, the daily closes around it, and the measured next-session move. Every number and every path is pulled from the archive itself.
Archive range
1936 – 2026
Events classified
72,036
Joined datasets
News × Price
Precedent Matching

This has happened before.

When news drops, VEILLE matches it against 72,036 classified events and pulls its closest historical analogues. Below, four live pairings: the modern event's path laid directly over its precedent's, session by session, with the correlation measured — not asserted.

Nothing here forecasts. Both paths are what actually printed; correlation is Pearson r on the closing path across the sessions after each event — the same measurement the terminal runs when it overlays any two events in the archive.

Every pairing above is one query in the terminal. When the next headline breaks, pull its analogues, overlay the paths, and test the strategy against exactly this history — sizing, stops, holding period — before committing capital.

Backtest against history
Headline matching technology

Analyse live news against ninety years of archives.

When a headline lands, the engine narrows the archive to prior events of the same kind and ranks them on the state of the market each one landed in. Two archive queries below, each joined to the precedent the engine ranked first — and the shape similarity measured on the paths that followed.

Archive query · 16 Mar 2022 · USD / yen

"FOMC policy statement: March 15-16, 2022"

shape r +0.85
Rank-1 precedent · 9 Jun 1982
Interest Rates Rise Modestly
CLASS · MACRO FX — RATE DECISION · RANK 1 OF 999 PRIORS
Archive query · 6 Aug 2018 · Brent spot

"U.S. to Restore Sanctions on Iran, Deepening Divide With Europe"

shape r +0.83
Rank-1 precedent · 10 Jul 2017
Germany’s Siemens Says Russian Partner Violated Crimea Sanctions
CLASS · ENERGY — SANCTIONS ACTION · RANK 1 OF 431 PRIORS

Shape similarity is Pearson r on the two post-event closing paths (n = 21 closes, t₀ to +20 sessions). It says how alike the two drawn lines are — not a probability that the move repeats. Across real pairs it is centred near zero — most matches do not rhyme this closely, which is what makes these two worth showing. Every figure is the engine's own output, unedited.

Ontology & depth

The Classified Event Archive

Veille catalogues occurrences according to strict structural profiles, ensuring metadata is comparable over ninety years.

Explore complete archive
Taxonomy branch Indexed volume Analytical baseline
Geopolitical 11,240 events Embargoes, conflicts, territorial shifts, trade blockades
Monetary Policy 9,850 events Emergency rate changes, quantitative adjustments, forward-guidance shocks
Regulatory & Law 8,340 events Anti-trust filings, industrial nationalisation, tariff implementations
Natural & Resource 6,410 events OPEC quotas, wheat embargoes, major shipping corridor blocks
Industrial Collapse 6,056 events Sovereign debt restructuring, major conglomerate bankruptcies, exchange halts
Beta access

Review historical evidence before committing capital.

Stop trading based on qualitative narratives. Gain institutional access to ninety years of parsed macro precedent data joined with session-by-session pricing paths.